NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion
Mon Mar 02 3:26 am
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020826
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Mar 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough is analyzed from 04N81W to 01N89W. The ITCZ
extends from 04S100W to 03N120W and from 00N130W to 03N140W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 04N between 81W and
89W and S of 02S between 105W and 120W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Strong winds and seas of 7 to 9 ft prevail over the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. High pressure is starting to build SE toward Baja
California, causing moderate to fresh NW winds offshore Baja
California Norte. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient is leading
to light to gentle winds. Moderate seas prevail over the open
waters off Mexico, with slight seas over the Gulf of California.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient offshore Baja
California will increase winds to fresh to locally strong through
tonight N of Cabo San Lazaro. The pressure gradient between high
pressure over NE Mexico and the equatorial trough will support
strong gap winds in the Gulf of Tehunatepec tonight and Tue
night. High pressure will build over the waters N of Punta
Eugenia by mid-week. This will further tighten the pressure
gradient to support fresh to strong NW winds and building seas.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Strong gap winds are in the Papagayo region, with fresh gap winds
occurring in the Gulf of Panama, with seas in both areas at 5 to
7 ft. Elsewhere, winds are mainly light to gentle with slight to
moderate seas. Scattered moderate convection has moved offshore
Ecuador and Colombia and is impacting nearshore waters.
For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong winds are expected in
the Papagayo area through through the week. Winds will increase
to 30 kt late tonight into Tue morning with seas building to 8
to 9 ft downwind of the Papagayo region to near 90W. Fresh N gap
winds and moderate seas will pulse in the Gulf of Panama and
just S of the Azuero Peninsula.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
High pressure centered N of the region is dominating much of the
waters N of 15N. This is leading to mainly moderate or weaker NE
to E winds N of the Equator, along with moderate seas.
For the forecast, little change in marine conditions is expected
into mid week. High pressure will build over the area Wed and
Thu, tightening the pressure gradient. As this occurs, areas of
locally strong winds and rough seas are possible N of 15N for the
latter half of the week.
$$
Konarik
AXPZ20 KNHC 020826
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Mar 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough is analyzed from 04N81W to 01N89W. The ITCZ
extends from 04S100W to 03N120W and from 00N130W to 03N140W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 04N between 81W and
89W and S of 02S between 105W and 120W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Strong winds and seas of 7 to 9 ft prevail over the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. High pressure is starting to build SE toward Baja
California, causing moderate to fresh NW winds offshore Baja
California Norte. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient is leading
to light to gentle winds. Moderate seas prevail over the open
waters off Mexico, with slight seas over the Gulf of California.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient offshore Baja
California will increase winds to fresh to locally strong through
tonight N of Cabo San Lazaro. The pressure gradient between high
pressure over NE Mexico and the equatorial trough will support
strong gap winds in the Gulf of Tehunatepec tonight and Tue
night. High pressure will build over the waters N of Punta
Eugenia by mid-week. This will further tighten the pressure
gradient to support fresh to strong NW winds and building seas.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Strong gap winds are in the Papagayo region, with fresh gap winds
occurring in the Gulf of Panama, with seas in both areas at 5 to
7 ft. Elsewhere, winds are mainly light to gentle with slight to
moderate seas. Scattered moderate convection has moved offshore
Ecuador and Colombia and is impacting nearshore waters.
For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong winds are expected in
the Papagayo area through through the week. Winds will increase
to 30 kt late tonight into Tue morning with seas building to 8
to 9 ft downwind of the Papagayo region to near 90W. Fresh N gap
winds and moderate seas will pulse in the Gulf of Panama and
just S of the Azuero Peninsula.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
High pressure centered N of the region is dominating much of the
waters N of 15N. This is leading to mainly moderate or weaker NE
to E winds N of the Equator, along with moderate seas.
For the forecast, little change in marine conditions is expected
into mid week. High pressure will build over the area Wed and
Thu, tightening the pressure gradient. As this occurs, areas of
locally strong winds and rough seas are possible N of 15N for the
latter half of the week.
$$
Konarik